Houston coffee shop
Site detail
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Back to mapMontrose storefront
Montrose
- Suite
- A
- Asking rent
- $32/SF/year default
- Service type
- Coffee shop
- Position
- Corner storefront
- Catchment radius
- 1 mile default
- Residents
- 12,400 default
- Workers
- 8,600 default
Insights
Example data · Authored synthetic service example · 12 seeds per day
Simulation Modeled, not a forecast. Seed bands describe variation under the supplied model, not a confidence interval.
- Busiest modeled hour · 9am–10am
Mean arrivals 29.92 · balked 1.83 · left queue 1.75 · mean within-seed p90 wait 4.76 min.
12 seeds · Modeled, not a forecast
- Quietest modeled hour · 7am–8am
Mean station utilization 22.46% · 6.83 arrivals.
12 seeds · Modeled, not a forecast
Highest added revenue among tested station options
Authored synthetic example · same baseline and paired seeds as these charts · 12 paired seeds
Simulation Modeled additional monthly revenue: $1,291.33 mean · $156.00 to $2,262.00 p5–p95
Contribution decreases after included costs: -$8,056.07 mean · -$8,850.80 to -$7,376.60 p5–p95
Planned stations 2 → 4; effective stations 2 → 4. Staff 2 → 4.
Whole operating days: weekday 7am–3pm; weekend 7am–3pm. No hourly staffing window is modeled.
448 added station-hours/month (capacity proxy). Staff-hours: 448 added/month; separate from station capacity.
Recorded input origins: default Assumption
Modeled, not a forecast. Empirical paired-seed ranges, not a confidence interval. This choice maximizes modeled added revenue, then uses fewer added station-hours; it does not establish the cheapest equipment or highest profit.
Station experiment evidence and limitations
Monthly net walk-away change (alternative minus baseline): -196.33 mean · -344 to -24 p5–p95. Weekday walk-away change: -7.58 mean · -16 to 0 p5–p95. These count balked and reneged customers; added revenue also includes other completed services.
Paired seeds: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
- Whole-operating-day station counts; no hourly staffing schedule is modeled
- Station-hours are a capacity proxy, not labor hours, staffing requirements or equipment dollars
- The engine does not bind station capacity to staff headcount; actual helper staff-hours are reported separately
- Additional revenue includes all extra completed services, including customers otherwise unfinished at closing; it is not attributed exclusively to walk-away recovery
- Walk-away changes count balked plus reneged customers only, excluding unfinished customers at closing
- Empirical p5–p95 paired-seed outcomes are simulations, not a forecast or a confidence interval for realized sales
- Selection compares only tested variants by mean added revenue, then station-hours; station purchase costs are unknown
Demand vs capacity
Mean arrivals and completed customers by local hour. Bands show each count's seed variation; the dashed line is capacity during actual open minutes.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
2 stations (default) · 4 min service (default). Capacity = stations × open minutes ÷ mean service minutes; unknown inputs stay unknown.
View demand vs capacity data
| Hour | Open minutes | Arrivals (p5–p95) | Served (p5–p95) | Capacity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12am–1am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 1am–2am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 2am–3am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 3am–4am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 4am–5am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 5am–6am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 6am–7am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 7am–8am | 60 | 6.83 (4–11) | 6.42 (4–10) | 30 |
| 8am–9am | 60 | 20.58 (14–33) | 18.17 (14–26) | 30 |
| 9am–10am | 60 | 29.92 (21–36) | 24.5 (17–28) | 30 |
| 10am–11am | 60 | 24.42 (14–36) | 22.5 (14–31) | 30 |
| 11am–12pm | 60 | 14.58 (7–18) | 16.08 (8–22) | 30 |
| 12pm–1pm | 60 | 11.25 (5–16) | 10.92 (5–16) | 30 |
| 1pm–2pm | 60 | 10.33 (5–14) | 10.25 (5–14) | 30 |
| 2pm–3pm | 60 | 12.92 (7–18) | 12.42 (6–16) | 30 |
| 3pm–4pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 4pm–5pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 5pm–6pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 6pm–7pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 7pm–8pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 8pm–9pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 9pm–10pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 10pm–11pm | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
| 11pm–12am | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 |
Wait by hour
The solid line is mean wait; the dashed line is mean within-seed p90. Each shaded band is that metric's p5–p95 variation across observed seeds, not a confidence interval.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
View wait by hour data
| Hour | Mean wait, min (p5–p95) | Within-seed p90, min (p5–p95) | Observed seeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12am–1am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 1am–2am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 2am–3am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 3am–4am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 4am–5am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 5am–6am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 6am–7am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 7am–8am | 0.07 (0–0.43) | 0.4 (0–2.53) | 12 of 12 |
| 8am–9am | 1.15 (0.28–3.33) | 3.37 (1.2–6.46) | 12 of 12 |
| 9am–10am | 1.97 (0.52–3.85) | 4.76 (1.35–7.5) | 12 of 12 |
| 10am–11am | 1.71 (0.08–3.41) | 4.26 (0.25–7.98) | 12 of 12 |
| 11am–12pm | 0.94 (0–2.91) | 2.88 (0–7.49) | 12 of 12 |
| 12pm–1pm | 0.17 (0–0.66) | 0.67 (0–1.74) | 12 of 12 |
| 1pm–2pm | 0.2 (0–0.49) | 0.99 (0–3.76) | 12 of 12 |
| 2pm–3pm | 0.34 (0–0.97) | 1.32 (0–3.29) | 12 of 12 |
| 3pm–4pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 4pm–5pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 5pm–6pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 6pm–7pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 7pm–8pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 8pm–9pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 9pm–10pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 10pm–11pm | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
| 11pm–12am | Unknown | Unknown | 0 of 12 |
Walk-aways by hour
Stacked mean counts separate customers who balked from those who left a queue. The total band is computed from each seed's combined count before quantiles.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
View walk-aways by hour data
| Hour | Balked (p5–p95) | Left queue (p5–p95) | Total (p5–p95) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12am–1am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 1am–2am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 2am–3am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 3am–4am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 4am–5am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 5am–6am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 6am–7am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 7am–8am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 8am–9am | 0.67 (0–6) | 0.67 (0–2) | 1.33 (0–8) |
| 9am–10am | 1.83 (0–4) | 1.75 (0–3) | 3.58 (1–7) |
| 10am–11am | 0.83 (0–3) | 1.58 (0–4) | 2.42 (0–7) |
| 11am–12pm | 0.08 (0–1) | 0.58 (0–2) | 0.67 (0–2) |
| 12pm–1pm | 0 (0–0) | 0.25 (0–1) | 0.25 (0–1) |
| 1pm–2pm | 0.08 (0–1) | 0.42 (0–1) | 0.5 (0–1) |
| 2pm–3pm | 0 (0–0) | 0.08 (0–1) | 0.08 (0–1) |
| 3pm–4pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 4pm–5pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 5pm–6pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 6pm–7pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 7pm–8pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 8pm–9pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 9pm–10pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 10pm–11pm | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
| 11pm–12am | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) |
Modeled revenue
Hourly USD from completed services, with mean and p5–p95 seed variation.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
View modeled revenue data
| Hour | Hourly USD (p5–p95) | Cumulative USD (p5–p95) |
|---|---|---|
| 12am–1am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 1am–2am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 2am–3am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 3am–4am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 4am–5am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 5am–6am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 6am–7am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) |
| 7am–8am | $41.71 ($26.00–$65.00) | $41.71 ($26.00–$65.00) |
| 8am–9am | $118.08 ($91.00–$169.00) | $159.79 ($123.50–$208.00) |
| 9am–10am | $159.25 ($110.50–$182.00) | $319.04 ($247.00–$383.50) |
| 10am–11am | $146.25 ($91.00–$201.50) | $465.29 ($377.00–$585.00) |
| 11am–12pm | $104.54 ($52.00–$143.00) | $569.83 ($487.50–$682.50) |
| 12pm–1pm | $70.96 ($32.50–$104.00) | $640.79 ($552.50–$760.50) |
| 1pm–2pm | $66.63 ($32.50–$91.00) | $707.42 ($617.50–$825.50) |
| 2pm–3pm | $80.71 ($39.00–$104.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 3pm–4pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 4pm–5pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 5pm–6pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 6pm–7pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 7pm–8pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 8pm–9pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 9pm–10pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 10pm–11pm | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
| 11pm–12am | $0.00 ($0.00–$0.00) | $788.13 ($676.00–$910.00) |
Customer mix
Modeled arrivals by resident, worker and pass-by group. Unknown classifications remain visible.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
View customer mix data
| Group | Mean arrivals (p5–p95) |
|---|---|
| Residents | 43.83 (32–54) |
| Workers | 87 (76–108) |
| Pass-by | 0 (0–0) |
| Unknown | 0 (0–0) |
Modeled arrival distance
Straight-line distance from modeled persona locations to this site, for arrivals. These are not sampled trip origins.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
View modeled arrival distance data
| Group | Mean arrivals (p5–p95) |
|---|---|
| <0.5 mi | 130.83 (108–156) |
| 0.5–1 mi | 0 (0–0) |
| 1–3 mi | 0 (0–0) |
| >3 mi | 0 (0–0) |
| Unknown | 0 (0–0) |
Served-customer origins
Each hexagon shows the mean modeled served customers from explicitly supplied trip origins.
Simulation Mean and p5–p95 across 12 seeds. Modeled, not a forecast.
Assumption Authored synthetic origins · Authored synthetic customer points; not observed geography
Local hex grid; no street geometry is inferred. Unmapped served: 0 (0–0).
View served-customer origins data
| Cell | Mean served (p5–p95) | Longitude | Latitude |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1:-1 | 3.92 (2–5) | -95.39812 | 29.74243 |
| -1:-2 | 3.17 (0–7) | -95.40036 | 29.73906 |
| -1:-3 | 2.08 (0–5) | -95.40260 | 29.73569 |
| -1:-4 | 0.17 (0–1) | -95.40484 | 29.73233 |
| -1:0 | 2.67 (0–4) | -95.39588 | 29.74580 |
| -1:1 | 3.5 (1–7) | -95.39364 | 29.74917 |
| -1:2 | 2.33 (1–4) | -95.39140 | 29.75254 |
| -1:3 | 3.25 (1–7) | -95.38916 | 29.75591 |
| -1:4 | 0.92 (0–3) | -95.38692 | 29.75927 |
| -2:-1 | 1.75 (0–4) | -95.40260 | 29.74243 |
| -2:-2 | 0.67 (0–2) | -95.40484 | 29.73906 |
| -2:0 | 3.25 (1–6) | -95.40036 | 29.74580 |
| -2:1 | 3.5 (0–9) | -95.39812 | 29.74917 |
| -2:2 | 2.58 (1–7) | -95.39588 | 29.75254 |
| -2:3 | 2.92 (1–6) | -95.39364 | 29.75591 |
| -2:4 | 0.67 (0–2) | -95.39140 | 29.75927 |
| -3:0 | 1 (0–3) | -95.40484 | 29.74580 |
| -3:1 | 2.25 (1–4) | -95.40260 | 29.74917 |
| -3:2 | 2.67 (1–4) | -95.40036 | 29.75254 |
| -3:3 | 2.17 (0–6) | -95.39812 | 29.75591 |
| -3:4 | 0.83 (0–2) | -95.39588 | 29.75927 |
| -4:2 | 1 (0–4) | -95.40484 | 29.75254 |
| -4:3 | 2.42 (0–4) | -95.40260 | 29.75591 |
| -4:4 | 0.42 (0–2) | -95.40036 | 29.75927 |
| -5:4 | 0.25 (0–1) | -95.40484 | 29.75927 |
| 0:-1 | 3.67 (1–8) | -95.39364 | 29.74243 |
| 0:-2 | 3.08 (1–5) | -95.39588 | 29.73906 |
| 0:-3 | 2.67 (0–6) | -95.39812 | 29.73569 |
| 0:-4 | 0.33 (0–2) | -95.40036 | 29.73233 |
| 0:0 | 2.33 (1–4) | -95.39140 | 29.74580 |
| 0:1 | 3.67 (0–6) | -95.38916 | 29.74917 |
| 0:2 | 2.25 (0–5) | -95.38692 | 29.75254 |
| 0:3 | 2.92 (1–6) | -95.38468 | 29.75591 |
| 0:4 | 0.58 (0–2) | -95.38244 | 29.75927 |
| 1:-1 | 3.58 (1–9) | -95.38916 | 29.74243 |
| 1:-2 | 2.33 (1–4) | -95.39140 | 29.73906 |
| 1:-3 | 2.67 (0–5) | -95.39364 | 29.73569 |
| 1:-4 | 0.42 (0–2) | -95.39588 | 29.73233 |
| 1:0 | 3.42 (0–8) | -95.38692 | 29.74580 |
| 1:1 | 2 (0–6) | -95.38468 | 29.74917 |
| 1:2 | 2.58 (1–4) | -95.38244 | 29.75254 |
| 1:3 | 3.25 (1–7) | -95.38020 | 29.75591 |
| 1:4 | 0.25 (0–2) | -95.37796 | 29.75927 |
| 2:-1 | 2.58 (1–5) | -95.38468 | 29.74243 |
| 2:-2 | 2.75 (1–6) | -95.38692 | 29.73906 |
| 2:-3 | 2.25 (0–4) | -95.38916 | 29.73569 |
| 2:-4 | 0.92 (0–2) | -95.39140 | 29.73233 |
| 2:0 | 3.08 (1–6) | -95.38244 | 29.74580 |
| 2:1 | 2.08 (1–4) | -95.38020 | 29.74917 |
| 2:2 | 0.83 (0–3) | -95.37796 | 29.75254 |
| 3:-1 | 2.5 (0–5) | -95.38020 | 29.74243 |
| 3:-2 | 2.58 (1–5) | -95.38244 | 29.73906 |
| 3:-3 | 3 (1–5) | -95.38468 | 29.73569 |
| 3:-4 | 1 (0–2) | -95.38692 | 29.73233 |
| 3:0 | 1 (0–2) | -95.37796 | 29.74580 |
| 4:-2 | 0.83 (0–2) | -95.37796 | 29.73906 |
| 4:-3 | 2.67 (0–8) | -95.38020 | 29.73569 |
| 4:-4 | 0.5 (0–2) | -95.38244 | 29.73233 |
| 5:-4 | 0.33 (0–1) | -95.37796 | 29.73233 |
Example data